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Mar 10, 22 (Updated: Oct 19, 22)

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1. Gjopen.com
Outspoken Oregon 2 years ago

Sign In - Good Judgment® Open

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2. Goodjudgment.com
Disciplined Amsterdam, Netherlands 2 years ago

Get early insights from professional Superforecasters. Or train your team on Superforecasting techniques. Either way, Good Judgment can help you manage ...

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Legendary 2 years ago

Gain Forecasting Experience & Build A Track Record - Good ...

https://goodjudgment.com/services/good-judgment-open/

Gain forecasting experience and build a track record on Good Judgment Open. Practice makes progress. The largest public forecasting platform of its kind – Good ...

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Scholar 2 years ago

Public Dashboard - Good Judgment

https://goodjudgment.com/covidrecovery/

Good Judgment's Superforecasters provide specific, actionable forecasts on COVID, US and global economics, and related topics.

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Reviewer Modena, MO, Italia 2 years ago

FutureFirst - Good Judgment

https://goodjudgment.com/services/futurefirst/

Log in here. FutureFirst™, Good Judgment's exclusive monitoring tool, gives you 24/7 access to forecasts to help you quantify risk, improve judgment, ...

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Guru Seattle, WA 2 years ago

Fundamentals-Focused Online Training For Forecasters

https://goodjudgment.com/services/online-training/

Co-developed by Good Judgment co-founder Phil Tetlock, this course is for people who want measurable improvements in forecasting accuracy, ...

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Editor Melbourne is the most liveable city. 2 years ago

Question Clustering - Good Judgment

https://goodjudgment.com/question_clusters/

The Good Judgment team developed this method in a research study sponsored and validated by the US Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity from 2011- ...

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Refiner Sweden 2 years ago

Subscription Superforecasts - Good Judgment

https://goodjudgment.com/services/subscription-superforecasts/

Get up-to-the-minute predictions and analysis from over 150 Superforecasters. Subscription packages cover hot topics such as COVID and the US elections.

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Editor Barcelona 2 years ago

Four years, 500 questions, and over a million forecasts later, the Good Judgment Project (GJP) – led by Philip Tetlock and Barbara Mellers at the University ...

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Editor 2 years ago

How to Become a Superforecaster® - Good Judgment

https://goodjudgment.com/how-to-become-a-superforecaster/

For all curious souls out there, here's the inside scoop. Superforecaster Origins: the Good Judgment Project. Superforecasters were a surprise discovery of the ...

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Disciplined New York, NY, United States 2 years ago

The Superforecasters' Track Record - Good Judgment

https://goodjudgment.com/resources/the-superforecasters-track-record/

Superforecasters represented the cream of the crop of the Good Judgment Project forecasters. And they've proven themselves time and time again since turning ...

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Populist 2 years ago

The Science Of Superforecasting - Good Judgment

https://goodjudgment.com/about/the-science-of-superforecasting/

Good Judgment research discovered four keys to accurate forecasting: talent-spotting, training, teaming, and aggregation.

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Legendary St. Petersburg, Russia 2 years ago

The first championship season - Good Judgment

https://goodjudgment.com/resources/the-superforecasters-track-record/t...

In 2012, the Good Judgment Project research team made a big bet that five 12-person teams of elite forecasters could make more accurate forecasts than any ...

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Disciplined Bristol, UK 1 year ago

Superforecasting Case Studies - Good Judgment

https://goodjudgment.com/resources/case-studies/

Learn how Good Judgment's clients use Superforecasting methods to generate better forecasts and improve their decision-making.

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Outspoken 1 year ago

Professional Superforecasting Workshops from Good Judgment

https://goodjudgment.com/services/upcoming-workshops/

Upgrade your forecasting skills with a Superforecaster®-led training workshop.

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Critic Udupi, India 1 year ago

Superforecaster Profiles - Good Judgment

https://goodjudgment.com/about/our-team/superforecaster-profiles/

When Jean-Pierre Beugoms joined the Good Judgment Project (GJP) back in 2011, he had a disadvantage: The forecasting tournament was already underway, ...

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Scholar Romania 1 year ago

Books on Making Better Decisions - Good Judgment

https://goodjudgment.com/books-on-making-better-decisions/

Four years, 500 questions, and over a million forecasts later, the Good Judgment Project (GJP)—led by Philip Tetlock and Barbara Mellers at the University ...

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Announcer Taiwan 1 year ago

Superforecasting® Private Workshops & Forecasting Training

https://goodjudgment.com/services/private-workshops/

Our Superforecasting workshops incorporate Good Judgment research findings and practical Superforecaster know-how. Your team will learn how to write ...

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Scholar 1 year ago

Superforecasting & Good Judgment In The Press/News

https://goodjudgment.com/about/press-news/

Warren Hatch, co-founder Professor Philip Tetlock, and Superforecaster JuliAnn Blam on how Good Judgment Inc has turned “future-gazing into a science.” “As Good ...

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Populist 1 year ago

Keeping It Civil - Promoting an Open-Minded Dialog on Good ...

https://goodjudgment.com/keeping-it-civil/

Good Judgment Project research found that being an “actively open-minded thinker” is positively correlated with being an accurate forecaster.

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Populist Rome, Italy 1 year ago

The Superforecasting Guide to Coronavirus - Good Judgment

https://goodjudgment.com/presses/superforecasting_guide_to_coronavirus...

Stop guessing. Start Superforecasting. Schedule a consultation to learn how our FutureFirst monitoring tool, custom Superforecasts, and training services can ...

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Outspoken Estonia 1 year ago

Careers - Good Judgment

https://goodjudgment.com/about/careers/

Good Judgment is an Equal Opportunity Employer, eager to foster workforce diversity. We choose our certified Superforecasters® based on measured performance, ...

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Scholar France 1 year ago

Meet Good Judgment's Superforecasting Team

https://goodjudgment.com/about/our-team/

Great forecasters consider each question from multiple vantage points. ... Good Judgment's Management Team ... Resources · About · Contact · Client sign in.

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Reviewer Amsterdam, Netherlands 1 year ago

Ten Commandments for Aspiring Superforecasters - Good ...

https://goodjudgment.com/philip-tetlocks-10-commandments-of-superforec...

In Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction, Good Judgment ... the Good Judgment Project research findings in the form of “Ten Commandments for ...

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Scholar 1 year ago

Case Study - Forecasting the Future of Food - Good Judgment

https://goodjudgment.com/resources/case-studies/case-study-forecasting...

Good Judgment worked with food-industry experts to build a rigorous index predicting consumer acceptance of alternative proteins.

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Refiner Australia 1 year ago

Services · Who We Serve · Insights · Resources · About · Contact · Client sign in. ©2022 Good Judgment Inc. | Good Judgment®, Superforecaster®, ...

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3. Gjp2.org
Organizer Perth, Western Australia, Australia 1 year ago

Good Judgment Project 2.0: Home

https://www.gjp2.org/

GJP 2.0 is the latest R&D project from the team behind the Good Judgment Project (GJP). GJP was the runaway winner of a massive four-year geopolitical ...

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4. Goodjudgment.io
Scholar India 1 year ago

https://www.goodjudgment.io/forecasting/login.php

https://www.goodjudgment.io/forecasting/login.php
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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Gjopen?

About Us. Good Judgment Open is owned and operated by Good Judgment, a forecasting services firm that equips corporate and government decision makers with the benefit of foresight. Good Judgment's co-founder, Philip Tetlock, literally wrote the book on state-of-the-art crowd-sourced forecasting.

How do I become a super predictor?

Those who consistently outperform the crowd are automatically eligible for our annual pro Super selection process and potentially a trial engagement. Those who successfully complete a three-month probation period will become full-fledged Superforecasters.

How do you show good Judgement at work?

Here are five ways you can demonstrate good judgment:
  1. Think critically, and tackle ambiguity and complex problems effectively and efficiently.
  2. Listen, respect others and appreciate diversity in all its forms.
  3. Surround yourself with highly-regarded people.
  4. Communicate clearly and effectively.

Recent Tweets By gj_open

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@GJ_Open New Question Friday! What will be the US domestic box office gross in the opening holiday weekend for The Little Mermaid, according to Box Office Mojo? https://t.co/HK9Sm2QHOX
2023-01-20 06:06:44
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@GJ_Open Join Professional Superforecasters and Good Judgment researchers next week as they lead you in a virtual Superforecasting Workshop. Buy tickets here and use code GJSocial20 for 20% off: https://t.co/1qVHmzKxB6 https://t.co/LMusGxaaDC
2023-01-18 09:50:30
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@GJ_Open The Good Judgment January Superforecasting Workshop is next week—sessions focus on cognitive debiasing, collaboration, and the wisdom of crowds so that you can become a better forecaster. Sign up with code GJSocial20 at registration for 20% off! https://t.co/1qVHmzL5qE https://t.co/PdPp2zTaiQ
2023-01-18 05:28:02
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@GJ_Open Featured question on the Good Judgment Public Dashboard: What will be the midpoint of the US federal funds target range at the end of 2023? Read more from the Superforecasters here: https://t.co/6TF8wo2ASk https://t.co/Rt0oruz3PK
2023-01-17 11:15:00
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@GJ_Open Will shots be fired between China and Taiwan before 2025? What will be the result of the 2024 US presidential election? See limited versions of these reports from the Superforecasters on the Good Judgment Public Dashboard. https://t.co/6TF8wo2ASk
2023-01-17 04:02:33
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@GJ_Open Just added to the #IntheNews 2023 Challenge: Will Kevin McCarthy cease to be the Speaker of the US House of Representatives before 1 January 2024? Make your forecast here: https://t.co/0O43X90o3v
2023-01-14 12:45:30
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@GJ_Open Weighing in on the @NFL Conference Championships: Add your forecasts for the AFC game (https://t.co/f1dFKw8XkU) and the NFC game (https://t.co/yCEtQoo49y).
2023-01-13 09:00:29
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@GJ_Open There are two new questions in the Nonrival Challenge—add your forecasts on the future of the US debt ceiling and the possibility of Fitch, Moody's, and/or S&P downgrading their long-term credit ratings or outlooks for the US in 2023. https://t.co/WhZ1WjCREA
2023-01-13 07:24:59
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@GJ_Open New Question Friday: Will territory in any Ukrainian oblast that borders Belarus cease to be under Ukrainian control before 7 April 2023, according to the Institute for the Study of War? https://t.co/a0UyTQdfLy
2023-01-13 06:01:44
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@GJ_Open The @UBS Asset Management Investments Recruitment Challenge is an exciting way for college students to practice their forecasting skills and engage with other forecasters while competing for an exclusive opportunity. Learn more and sign up here: https://t.co/Kk21lPMPuj https://t.co/8F03xr66oG
2023-01-12 12:56:30
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@GJ_Open Start 2023 off on the right foot with Good Judgment's January Superforecasting public workshop! Code GJSocial20 gets you 20% off the list price. https://t.co/ftY97Ksvq9 https://t.co/HRWmDXdTHi
2023-01-12 09:45:30
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@GJ_Open Want to become a better forecaster in 2023? Join Good Judgment researchers and professional Superforecasters at the Superforecasting Workshop later this month. Use code GJSocial20 at registration for 20% off! https://t.co/ftY97Ksvq9 https://t.co/bCT2e1qJAh
2023-01-12 04:25:14
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@GJ_Open Know a college student that is interested in forecasting? Invite them to join the @UBS Asset Management Investments Recruitment Challenge! Learn more and sign up here: https://t.co/Kk21lPMPuj https://t.co/dbZosMnoFP
2023-01-11 07:43:13
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@GJ_Open In 2022, the Good Judgment team continued to bring accurate and actionable forecasts and forecasting training to clients. We're taking a look back at the past year's developments in this Insights post. https://t.co/6GurYjOn4W https://t.co/50YxVpDaje
2023-01-10 11:58:00
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@GJ_Open 2022 was the busiest year yet for Good Judgment Inc! Here are some of the key developments and projects the team worked on in the past year: https://t.co/6GurYjOn4W https://t.co/Bzlvtsivq1
2023-01-10 06:48:30
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@GJ_Open Will at least one US show in Taylor Swift's 2023 "The Eras Tour" be canceled? What will be China's youth unemployment rate for June 2023? Forecast on these questions and more in the @UBS Asset Management Investments Recruitment Challenge: https://t.co/VM6Ldpmgx4
2023-01-07 12:07:00
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@GJ_Open Recently added forecasting question in the @UBS Asset Management Investments Recruitment Challenge: Will the upper limit of the US federal funds target range reach or exceed 5.50% before 21 September 2023? https://t.co/Xuy5b6EhKV
2023-01-06 09:46:00
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@GJ_Open We've added 5 new questions to the @UBS Asset Management Investments Recruitment Challenge, including forecasting the price of bitcoin on 30 June 2023 and the total number of housing starts in the US in the first half of 2023. See all the questions here: https://t.co/VM6Ldpmgx4
2023-01-06 07:11:56
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@GJ_Open New Question Friday: Before 1 January 2024, will the presidents of Russia and Ukraine meet in person? https://t.co/Nc4Tn2SpMi
2023-01-06 06:11:02
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@GJ_Open Check out the current challenges on GJ Open and add or update your forecasts on more than 200 active questions. https://t.co/LAM5dsvEuq https://t.co/VyKYOvXUAx
2023-01-05 11:07:30
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@GJ_Open Practice your forecasting skills by joining our current challenges across a wide range of interesting and important topics. https://t.co/LAM5dsvEuq https://t.co/qg2CyBXiWF
2023-01-05 03:46:14
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@GJ_Open Weigh in on this question from the @dubaifuture Experts Challenge 2023: Before 1 January 2024, will negotiations on a China-Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) free trade agreement be completed? https://t.co/0qiCwpH44R
2023-01-04 02:35:30
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@GJ_Open The Economist asks: Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of Taiwan and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 1 October 2023? Make your forecast here: https://t.co/0gYI94sTHy
2023-01-04 01:18:00
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@GJ_Open Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Afghanistan before 1 September 2023? Add your forecast to this new question in @TheEconomist The World Ahead 2023 Challenge. https://t.co/6J2ulsfBil
2023-01-03 11:43:30
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@GJ_Open Newly added question: Will US real GDP contract in the first quarter (Q1) and/or second quarter (Q2) of 2023? https://t.co/A2Yrf8lWxl
2023-01-03 09:13:00
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@GJ_Open If your 2023 resolutions include becoming a better forecaster, join Good Judgment researchers and professional Superforecasters at the January Superforecasting Workshop. Use code GJSocial20 at registration for 20% off! https://t.co/ftY97Ksvq9 https://t.co/8GAvZrHlqZ
2022-12-29 12:02:30
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@GJ_Open Have extra budget to use before the end of the year? Planning for 2023 professional development? Start 2023 off on the right foot with Good Judgment's January Superforecasting public workshop! Code GJSocial20 gets you 20% off the list price. https://t.co/ftY97Ksvq9 https://t.co/UsDsDEbzyF
2022-12-28 04:43:28
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@GJ_Open New Question Friday on GJ Open! Six new questions have been added for you to forecast on. "Before 15 December 2023, will Tesla announce that Elon Musk has ceased or will cease to be the company's sole CEO?" Weigh in here: https://t.co/iSp0zF4H9X
2022-12-23 08:31:00
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@GJ_Open Happy Festivus, forecasters! New Question Friday here. When will Florida Governor Ron DeSantis register with the FEC to run for US president in 2024? Add your forecast. https://t.co/JF9BpwnKt9
2022-12-23 00:00:00
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@GJ_Open In his latest piece for @NiemanLab, @wfrick looks at the role of prediction markets and forecasting platforms in journalism, including highlighting current questions on GJ Open and the Superforecasters' forecasts in @TheEconomist The World Ahead. https://t.co/tTjBnUxI6i
2022-12-22 00:00:00
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@GJ_Open Featured question on the Good Judgment Public Dashboard: What will be the percentage change in the world’s GDP in 2023 relative to the world’s GDP in 2022, according to the IMF? https://t.co/6TF8wnKZtK https://t.co/EBgG9NhaRY
2022-12-21 00:00:00
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@GJ_Open See limited reports with Superforecasters' comments for questions created in collaboration with @TheEconomist, “The World Ahead: 2023,” on the Good Judgment Public Dashboard. https://t.co/6TF8wo2ASk https://t.co/uAAsplGD45
2022-12-20 00:00:00
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@GJ_Open New #IntheNews 2023 Challenge questions ask you to forecast Trump's presidential campaign rallies in Q4 2023, the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate, and the future of TikTok in the US. See all the questions here: https://t.co/XGSxQLUhu7
2022-12-17 00:00:00
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@GJ_Open @sora_institut @NateSilver538 Great idea! We just launched this question on GJO: “How many presidential campaign rallies will Donald Trump hold in early-voting states for the Republican nomination for president in the fourth quarter of 2023?” https://t.co/vO6ANVZbwc
2022-12-16 00:00:00
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@GJ_Open New Question Friday: In Biden v. Nebraska, will the Supreme Court rule that any of the Respondents in the case has Article III standing to challenge the Biden administration's student loan forgiveness program? https://t.co/cOZJ5Bg3G6
2022-12-16 00:00:00
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@GJ_Open Forecast the value of the US Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index for May 2023 and the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 28 July 2023 with the latest questions in the @TheEconomist #TheWorldAhead 2023 Challenge. https://t.co/bgonmhdeCU
2022-12-16 00:00:00
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@GJ_Open Join our Challenges with prestigious partners like @UBS @TheEconomist and @Wharton to forecast across a wide range of interesting and important topics. https://t.co/LAM5dsvEuq
2022-12-16 00:00:00
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@GJ_Open Check out the current challenges on GJ Open with topics ranging from Inflation and the Future of Work to the Russia-Ukraine Conflict and other top headlines. Add your forecasts today! https://t.co/LAM5dsvEuq https://t.co/TTszon795v
2022-12-15 00:00:00
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@GJ_Open Join the Nonrival Forecasting Challenge! This Challenge explores key questions about the economy or tech with new ones added weekly. Learn more and get started here: https://t.co/IYX1LMz7pW https://t.co/36unbqQaLR
2022-12-14 00:00:00
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@GJ_Open Check out the current questions in the recently launched Nonrival Forecasting Challenge—topics range from VC investments to Android users on social media: https://t.co/WhZ1WjDpu8
2022-12-13 00:00:00
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@GJ_Open Forecasting #COVID19 in #China with this newly added question: How many new confirmed cases of COVID-19 will be reported for China between 9 December 2022 and 8 February 2023, according to @OurWorldInData? https://t.co/h7gtfvtV52
2022-12-10 00:00:00
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@GJ_Open Announcing the Nonrival Forecasting Challenge! The Challenge explores key questions about the economy or tech, and insights on these topics can be found weekly in @nonrival_pub. Learn more and get started here: https://t.co/IYX1LMhw1m https://t.co/D7WUIDI6Ri
2022-12-09 00:00:00
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@GJ_Open You're invited to join the Nonrival Forecasting Challenge! By assigning a probability to future events, we hope participants can practice their forecasting skills, learn from others, and improve their thinking over time. Visit this site to get started: https://t.co/IYX1LMz7pW https://t.co/6RSgJTMsBQ
2022-12-09 00:00:00
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@GJ_Open New Question Friday: When will North Korea next launch an ICBM with an estimated range of at least 10,000 km? https://t.co/ocA5VebdNE
2022-12-09 00:00:00
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@GJ_Open Take your forecasting skills to the next level with Good Judgment's January Superforecasting public workshop! Code GJSocial20 gets you 20% off the list price. https://t.co/ftY97Ksvq9 https://t.co/7mlYrl4Azb
2022-12-08 00:00:00
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@GJ_Open Who makes a good forecaster? How can forecasters reduce the impact of cognitive biases? Get the answers to these questions and more at Good Judgment's January Superforecasting Workshop. Use code GJSocial20 at registration for 20% off! https://t.co/ftY97Ksvq9 https://t.co/UoEpCs3I17
2022-12-08 00:00:00
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@GJ_Open Predict the US box office gross in the opening weekend for Avatar: The Way of Water with this question from the #IntheNews 2022 Challenge: https://t.co/Rwbs57ayAi
2022-12-06 01:00:00
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@GJ_Open Opportunity for students with the UBS Asset Management Investments Recruitment Challenge! You’re invited to participate in this unique joint venture between UBS Asset Management Investments and Good Judgment. Learn more here: https://t.co/Kk21lPve5J https://t.co/RfiUxuRbQm
2022-12-06 00:00:00
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@GJ_Open Join the @UBS Asset Management Investments Recruitment Challenge for an opportunity to win an invitation to an exclusive UBS networking and coaching event. Get the details: https://t.co/Kk21lPMPuj https://t.co/MAz50j60mx
2022-12-06 00:00:00
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@GJ_Open Added to @TheEconomist The World Ahead 2023 Challenge: Will the Chinese government publicly announce that it has approved the use of a foreign mRNA COVID-19 vaccine for use among its citizens in the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 2 May 2023? https://t.co/acBcI1vMDN
2022-12-05 06:38:30
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@GJ_Open Join the @UBS Asset Management Investments Recruitment Challenge for an opportunity to win an invitation to an exclusive UBS networking and coaching event. Get the details: https://t.co/Kk21lPve5J https://t.co/AYhJI5rFy9
2022-12-02 11:14:00
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@GJ_Open New Challenge Announcement! You’re invited to participate in the @UBS Asset Management Investments Recruitment Challenge, a unique joint venture between UBS Asset Management Investments and Good Judgment. Learn more here: https://t.co/Kk21lPMPuj https://t.co/FbCJJGn4IU
2022-12-02 06:53:55
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@GJ_Open Will there be a new tweet on former President Donald Trump's Twitter account before 26 February 2023? Weigh in here: https://t.co/23fsD5H31u
2022-11-29 11:33:00
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@GJ_Open Questions about CPI, real GDP, and the Global Food Security Index were recently added to the @DubaiFuture Experts Challenge 2022. See all the questions here: https://t.co/v9tNZe80o1
2022-11-29 08:12:09
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@GJ_Open Recently added to the #IntheNews 2023 Challenge: What percentage of the labour force in British Columbia (BC) will be comprised of landed immigrants in 2023? https://t.co/C2urp7ZZpo
2022-11-28 07:02:00
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@GJ_Open New Challenge announcement! Join the @DubaiFuture Experts Challenge 2022 to forecast events that can shape the prospects of Dubai and the world. https://t.co/v9tNZe80o1
2022-11-28 03:21:53
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@GJ_Open Featured question on the Public Dashboard: What will US holiday season retail sales be for 2022 relative to the 2021 holiday season? Read the Superforecasters' thoughts here: https://t.co/6TF8wnKZtK https://t.co/sdyTjpE9BO
2022-11-23 12:01:00
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@GJ_Open Take part in The World Ahead forecasting challenge, in association with @TheEconomist annual publication previewing the year ahead. See the current questions and start forecasting: https://t.co/gDDgupbCtz
2022-11-23 08:55:00
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@GJ_Open Are you a Superforecaster®? What do you think will happen in the year 2023? Here's your chance to forecast the outcome of political, economic, and cultural events with @TheEconomist #WorldAhead Challenge. https://t.co/gDDguoU14Z
2022-11-23 03:54:00
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